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The extra point was becoming essentially automatic. In the two years immediately prior to the change, teams made 2,538 of 2,551 extra points a success rate of 99.49%. After the NFL moved the kick back to the 15 yard line, turning a 19 yard kick into a 33 yard kick, kickers made about 93 to 95 percent of them, dropping to 92 percent in 2021. While this is still high, so teams still choose to use the extra point the vast majority of the time, it fails enough times that teams have Detroit Lions Football Sunburst Graphic Hoodie for two more often, which is what the NFL wanted. A two point conversion attempt is a much more interesting play than an extra point. In fact, in 2018 and 2019, teams converted 49.4 percent of their two point tries. That led to the expected value of an extra point dipping to between 0.92 and 0.95 while the expected value on two point conversions was 0.988. It actually made more sense, over the long run, to go for two much more. Teams would convert about half as often, but with twice the reward.
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